Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 186.829654 209.385763 234.229119 263.732768 297.958159 336.581133 383.704663
2025-02-16 149.109079 178.298631 213.159427 258.296338 315.826871 387.570382 485.190018
2025-02-23 127.806725 159.347452 199.063262 253.559741 327.690911 426.960478 573.367899
2025-03-02 116.662184 150.536044 195.105702 259.345562 351.795880 483.668343 693.000779
2025-03-09 106.297273 141.035570 188.414551 259.554328 366.939075 528.714392 802.829161
2025-03-16 96.535664 131.067349 179.594523 255.018318 373.626230 561.039716 897.656428
2025-03-23 89.902470 124.707337 175.008901 255.794921 387.939422 606.720554 1023.254407
2025-03-30 82.825647 116.967456 167.486474 250.912047 392.078905 635.528092 1123.740345
2025-04-06 77.587618 111.461741 162.731062 249.713142 401.877233 675.167983 1252.887133
2025-04-13 70.914021 103.213212 152.953207 239.120599 393.827421 680.755095 1313.581681
2025-04-20 68.930916 102.067924 154.282138 247.293159 420.248754 755.431543 1539.689395
2025-04-27 67.181235 101.120229 155.785042 255.821608 448.336422 838.072377 1806.342708
2025-05-04 63.739969 97.259683 152.250848 255.203095 459.225301 888.183476 2011.958455
2025-05-11 59.672501 92.097153 146.117630 249.216697 458.701938 913.763379 2162.793762
2025-05-18 56.237143 87.755539 141.055683 244.706575 460.557382 944.929179 2338.599240
2025-05-25 54.662659 86.458839 141.226817 250.242909 484.377079 1031.905935 2706.466450
2025-06-01 52.424886 83.857101 138.836681 250.442693 496.509790 1092.773722 3016.998057
2025-06-08 49.735844 80.292916 134.421978 246.101897 497.785500 1126.254548 3250.254392
2025-06-15 47.937353 78.197049 132.570297 246.845133 510.921496 1193.684012 3630.318218
2025-06-22 45.579964 74.956887 128.337737 242.171666 510.524980 1224.000772 3886.096590
2025-06-29 43.824301 72.713243 125.857079 241.024036 518.614061 1280.213896 4270.302411
2025-07-06 41.125424 68.595914 119.501174 230.882062 502.950762 1263.757282 4345.729041
2025-07-13 40.656235 68.591904 121.187616 238.707381 534.317924 1396.714319 5146.786639